2nd Quarter GDP growth figures were released today. The result was growth of 3% at an annual rate. Over the last fifty years every time 2nd Q GDP growth in an election year has exceeded 2.6% the incumbent party has won the popular vote (which almost always goes hand in hand with an electoral college victory) with one exception, which was 1968 when Humphrey very narrowly lost to Nixon. Let's hope this historical predictor holds up yet again, rather than providing a second exception.