I figure that only about 45% of the people who vote are moderately to solidly conservative. That leaves only about 13% who are truly up for grabs. Unfortunately, these are fairly apathetic, and have no allegience one way or another. They'll vote according to the last well-produced campaign ad they see before heading to the polling place. We only need about half of these to win. So, the fate of the nation rests with about 6% of people who have no real convictions, who sway in the breeze. Scary. (IMHO)
Thanks for taking the time to respond with some numbers--yes, scarey. I was watching something on FNC a few weeks ago and I believe Dr Dobson was on and said that in 2000, the turn-out for Evangelicals was low (but he didn't say why)--maybe with all the moral issues in the forground (ie: gay marriage, stem cell research and PBA), there will be a better turn out from that segment this election year (if what was said about low turn-out was true).