[rwfromkansas]

My concern is that we may be too giddy about the poll. It is only REGISTERED voters. And I remember reading that some hurt us more than likely voters.

Normally likely voter polls lean GOP.

When they lean Dem......we are in deep.

[rwfromkansas]

For proof, check out the Fox News independent poll.

Kerry actually GAINS with likely voters over just registered voters.

This points to Dems being more motivated than the GOP.

NOT GOOD AT ALL. We need to make sure Republicans know this is a vital election to win for the sake of the war on terror and also the SUPREME COURT.

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. July 20-21, 2004. N=900 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3), including 767 likely voters (MoE ± 4).
						.
"If the election for president of the United States were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Republican George W. Bush, Democrat John Kerry, and independent candidate Ralph Nader?" Names rotated; respondents pushed for decision. Nader identified as Green Party candidate in 2/04 poll.
						.
		George W. Bush	John Kerry	Ralph Nader	Other (vol.)/ Not Sure	Wouldn't Vote (vol.)
		%	%	%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	7/20-21/04	43	44	3	9	1
						.
	Among registered voters:
	7/20-21/04	43	42	4	10	1
	6/22-23/04	47	40	3	9	1
	6/8-9/04	42	42	3	12	1
	5/18-19/04	40	40	3	15	2
	4/21-22/04	42	40	2	14	2
	3/23-24/04	43	42	3	10	2
	2/18-19/04	43	42	4	9	2
						.