The only reason a Navy shoot dowen could possibly occur would be the budget cuts under Clinton that effectively killed effective training.
I don't know the likelyhood of a Navy origin shoot down as I was Army Artillery.
We had the "dash tens" on the Stingers, and I read them and everything else we had.
(Even how to clean, inspect and maintain night visioo goggles. *ugh* mind numbing.)
I only know the likelyhoood of a Stinger or similar slamming flight 800, or a Richard Reid type blowing ahole in the side.
*sigh*
I'd ask Navy types about the lieklyhood of a Navy shoot down under clinton funding with minimal training, but everyone I know from the Navy hasn't been over blue water for awhile.
(Plus, being that I'm not Navy myself, I wouldn't know what to ask or how to word it.)
Army,
there are reports of the navy runing exercises in the area, with live weapons, and at least one of the reports covers them firing a 'drone' for target practice, and shooting it down, and there are various radars which reported multiple contacts/tracks converging at the TWA800 'blowup' point.
Check on the link I just posted above, there are several there.
About as likely as you shooting a few rounds into the federal building in Oklahoma City because of lack of funding for effective training.