I don't see how he can lose Florida after the prescription drug benefit for seniors payoff. Plus, without Lieberman on the ticket, the conservative Jews in Florida will come home this year. So that leaves Missouri and Ohio as the most critical states to hold at this point.
Don't bet on it....my father is a senior (conservative, thank God) living in Florida & all his peers won't be happy until EVERYTHING is paid for.
Plus, folks in the panhandle won't be getting the hint that it's over already and they needn't bother voting.
I live in OH, and from what I can tell, nothing has changed since 2000. Yah, there are some layoffs, but the GOP here has been pretty active (especially in DEM Montgomery Co.) and has registered a LOT of new Republicans since 2000. They had a walk through a month ago, and were VERY pleased with the new registration results.
I don't think Missouri is a problem for Bush and NH GOP will pull through