I want to believe you, but how do you explain the last three polls? (See Dales Electoral College Breakdown, posted above)
Please, I beg you, stop looking at current polls! Pay attention after the conventions are over and we get past Labor Day. For reference go back to 2002 to the Florida Governor's race between Jeb Bush and Bill McBride. Terry McAuliffe was spouting that Jeb Bush was history in July/August. Dick Gephardt was predicting a forty seat pickup in the house for the Dems. Jeb Bush "slaughtered" Bill McBride and Gephardt was only off by forty-six seats! Polls at this point are meaningless!! GW Bush will win with big numbers in state electoral votes and the popular vote. Take my word for it, The Republicans have not yet begun to fight!!