Exactly. If you're Al Qaeda and your network is being decimated daily, your comrades are being questioned in Gitmo and elsewhere, how long do you think it will be before the Yanks find you or your nukes?
Logic would dictate that you use 'em before you lose 'em.
This sounds like another good excuse to take out Iran!
Especially since a "suitcase nuke" won't work if it doesn't get some rather sophisticated maintenance (replace the tritium, check the high-precision mechanical alignments, test/recalibrate the timing electronics) fairly often (on the order of a few months -- for one thing, tritium has a 12-year half-life, and its He3 decay product is a strong neutron absorber and tends to diffuse into everything).