I honestly believe that bin Laden is as dead as Elvis.
Over 2 1/2 years.
But I must admit, lately my brain has been overriding my gut feeling (that he is dead)...and I'm starting to believe that perhaps he is alive -
When you look at the situation...that Al Zawahiri is most surly alive (from all accounts)...yet he hasn't put out a video either...in 2 1/2 years)....Either has Omar -
Then you look at where Al Zawahiri seems to be ekking out a living at - the Pakistan side of the border region - An area where US troops have not gone into - Expect for "hot pursuits".....and also (I'd assume) some small sniper/recon teams -
But the chances of UBL/Zawahiri walking by one of our sniper teams is extremely remote - especially when you look at the region they are most likely in -
We are talking extreme, rugged mountain type conditions. At very high elevations....places where troops can't easily get in....or out....or stay very long -
I really believe for us to get Al Zawahiri (and find out about UBL)....we are going to have to say to hell with the Pakistan border...and send in a thousand or so Special operations type forces for 90 days or more.....this along with having Pakistan troops cutting off any escape routes.