1-SECURITY, whether the Dems like it or not will become a powerful force once the ranting and posturing are both finished, AND THE CURTAIN IS CLOSED, and the voter is ALL ALONE IN THE VOTING BOOTH.
2-WOMEN. Security for the female of the species is an innate imperative, and will trump the economic bait which has been used to buy their vote (successfully in the past, but think Maslow's hierarchy of needs).
3-THE DEBATES. The media will no doubt paint each debate as competitive, but viewers will see right through Kerry, he's no Clinton, heck, he's not even an Algore.
4-THE MAIN STREAM MEDIA HAS BEEN EXPOSED. People DO NOT like being spun, much less being lied to, and the fact that Fox News is roaring while the alphabet TV networks are losing viewers is one indication, and of course talk radio and the internet are both exploding with growth another, that CREDIBILITY is now a factor in information gathering on the part of voters. The dwindling loyal audience of the left-wing information purveyors go there because the WANT to be lied to, as it completes their warped worldview, and thereby gives them comfort, but nonetheless no longer has the power to sway the swing vote.
5-BILL COSBY. Do not discount the power of this seminal event. Mr. Cosby spoke to the heart of the issues in this country for Blacks, and make no mistake, they heard him. This will embolden the already growing but mostly timid conservative voices within the Black community, and give them the impetus to speak up. From vouchers to gay marriage to the realization that victimhood is anathema to their interests, the Democratic Party has now been "outed". They will not vote Republican in droves, but just as critical for this election, they will simply stay home. Even a slight trend in this regard will be enough to sway some states toward the Republicans, and this will be "Good Night Irene" for the Dem plantation owners.
I agree that his strong stand against the blame the whites/victimization/foul language, name calling black icons/education is for whites only attitude could very well make inroads into the Dem stranglehold over African Americans.
No matter what his politics are, Bill Cosby is a real hero, IMO, and I pray that what he is saying does have an impact.