Posted on 06/28/2004 2:51:25 AM PDT by conservative in nyc
The Canadian election is today. If the most recent polls are correct, the Conservative Party of Canada may win more seats in Canada's House of Commons, setting the stage for a Conservative minority government. A new day may be dawning in Canada. But the election is going to be close.
Please use this thread for any early election articles that pop-up over the course of the day, predictions and news analysis, and, of course, the actual results as they come in.
Also, please post links to Canadian elections result sites here.
Greens earn funding with 4 per cent of vote
Last Updated Tue, 29 Jun 2004 00:23:50 EDT
HALIFAX - The Green party, fighting to be recognized as a legitimate fourth party, recorded a major boost to its fortunes on Election Night, winning four per cent of the popular vote.
The party, which had complained about not being allowed to participate in the two all-leaders' debates, climbed more than three percentage points from the last election.
In 2000, their vote was almost negligible, recording only 0.08 per cent, or 1,100 votes. In this election, the party received about half a million votes.
With four per cent of the national popular vote, the Greens will qualify for annual funding of $1.75 per voter. That should allow Green Leader Jim Harris to build the party's infrastructure leading up to the next election.
The party's greatest showing has come in Alberta and British Columbia. In Alberta it captured six per cent of the popular vote, the highest support nationally. Its worst showing was in Manitoba, where it polled two per cent of the vote.
The party said from the beginning of the election campaign that it intended to send MPs to Ottawa. It has not been able to do that, but the party has increased its support more than four-fold across the country.
I didn't notice until you replied to me that you were posting numbers for the 2000 seats. No wonder they didn't match CBC's numbers for the current election.
Overall Election Results | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Total | Vote Share |
LIB | 135 | 1 | 136 | 36.80% |
CON | 91 | 5 | 96 | 29.52% |
BQ | 54 | 0 | 54 | 12.71% |
NDP | 18 | 3 | 21 | 15.42% |
NA | 1 | 0 | 1 | .12% |
OTH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.42% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:49:02 AM EDT | 308 seats |
ATLANTIC | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Vote Count | Vote Share |
LIB | 22 | 0 | 473483 | 43.79% |
CON | 7 | 0 | 324975 | 30.05% |
NDP | 3 | 0 | 244326 | 22.6% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:49:02 AM EDT | 32 seats |
QUEBEC | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Vote Count | Vote Share |
BQ | 54 | 0 | 1642501 | 49.09% |
LIB | 21 | 0 | 1126122 | 33.66% |
CON | 0 | 0 | 292872 | 8.75% |
NDP | 0 | 0 | 154071 | 4.61% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:49:02 AM EDT | 75 seats |
ONTARIO | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Vote Count | Vote Share |
LIB | 75 | 1 | 2199604 | 44.69% |
CON | 22 | 1 | 1550559 | 31.5% |
NDP | 7 | 0 | 886543 | 18.01% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:49:02 AM EDT | 106 seats |
PRAIRIES | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Vote Count | Vote Share |
CON | 43 | 3 | 1104430 | 52.84% |
LIB | 6 | 0 | 529563 | 25.34% |
NDP | 4 | 0 | 321871 | 15.4% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:50:34 AM EDT | 56 seats |
BRITISH COLUMBIA | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Vote Count | Vote Share |
CON | 19 | 1 | 537519 | 36.89% |
LIB | 9 | 0 | 415281 | 28.5% |
NDP | 4 | 2 | 378047 | 25.95% |
NA | 1 | 0 | 15763 | 1.08% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:49:02 AM EDT | 36 seats |
Layton puts Martin on notice
Last Updated Tue, 29 Jun 2004 00:13:25 EDT
TORONTO - NDP Leader Jack Layton put Liberal Leader Paul Martin on notice following the election, saying he better keep his promises.
Layton listed a number of social policy pledges Martin made during the campaign, including making Canada a greener country and the implementation of a national child-care program.
"My commitment tonight is that we will hold him to it with every ounce of energy we have," he said.
Layton told his supporters they should be proud of the party's results, with 15 per cent of the vote and about 25 seats.
"Tonight we must celebrate the fact we have doubled our support across the country and I want to thank those who put their trust in us," Layton said.
Layton, who was in a tough fight against Liberal incumbent Dennis Mills, praised his political opponent for his public service for Toronto and Canada.
Annie seems to have grabbed the seat. The margin is now too large, unless the remainging ridings are Torie strongholds.
United through higher taxes!
Some sad facts about the Canadian election
1) While the Liberals lost about 40 seats, they only lost 4% of their popular vote compared to the 2000 election.
2) The Conservative earned about 30% of the national vote, THIS IS DOWN from the 37% of the vote that the Alliance/PC parties earned in 2000. The idea that this was some kind of conservative tide in Canada is false hope.
3) That 7-8% loss in popular vote by the Conservatives is exactly the same proportion that was picked up by the socialist NDP party
4) The Bloc picked up 22 seats on a 2% increase in popular vote all of it in Quebec. This was a clear anti-Liberal protest over the 'Sponsorship Scandal'. There is no strong separatist sentiment in Quebec right now.
5) In British Columbia the Conservatives will actually lose seat, while the Liberals will gain some (4 it looks like at this time). So much for the MYTH of the conservative 'West'.
Why is it a myth? Look at the seats and the % of the popular vote in each province. Alberta is the ONLY majority Conservative province.
Ironically the reason why the Conservatives can take seats in Manitoba and Saskatchewan is because they are MORE socialist and lest centrist than Ontario! Yep, the NDP does better in those provinces than it does in Ontario and splits the left wing vote letting the 40% minority Conservatives win. Saskatchewan will send an almost complete slate of Conservative MPs when 60% of the population is Left of center! On the whole, with the exception of Alberat, the west in only 5 to 8 points more conservative than Ontario.
Party Seats Share
ALBERTA
CON 26 61.9%
LIB 1 21.59%
NDP 0 9.65%
BC
CON 19 37.2%
LIB 10 28.48%
NDP 6 25.73%
NA 1 1.03%
Saskatchewan
CON 13 41.84%
LIB 1 27.24%
NDP 0 23.26%
Manitoba
CON 7 39.34%
NDP 4 23.34
LIB 3 33.1%
I wonder how long Alberta will be able to hold out as the last bastion of Canadian conservatism?
Sweet Lord! Who is going to pay for all of that?
1 Liberal riding in Ontario is close.
3 NDP ridings are close.
-1 is in the Northwest Territories. That's a NDP-Liberal Battle
-2 in B.C. One likely swung to th Conservatives, according to the numbers on the bottom of CBC-TV. That is a NDP-Conservative battle in New Westminster. The other is a Liberal-NDP battle in Burnaby.
CBC says 135-98-54-20-1 now.
So it's up to the Ontario riding. I'm trying to figure out what it is.
Down to 155 for the Left coalition. That is a one seat margin. The CBC is having a panic attack. You can feel the angst in their voices. Have we blown it, just like the Americans did in 2000? Oh the horror.
Overall Election Results | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Total | Vote Share |
LIB | 136 | 0 | 136 | 36.79% |
CON | 91 | 5 | 96 | 29.52% |
BQ | 54 | 0 | 54 | 12.66% |
NDP | 18 | 3 | 21 | 15.48% |
NA | 1 | 0 | 1 | .13% |
OTH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.43% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:57:46 AM EDT | 308 seats |
Click the Refresh Results button to update the election results. |
ONTARIO | ||||
Party | Elected | Leading | Vote Count | Vote Share |
LIB | 76 | 0 | 2213546 | 44.7% |
CON | 22 | 1 | 1559511 | 31.49% |
NDP | 7 | 0 | 892790 | 18.03% |
Last Update: June 29, 12:57:46 AM EDT | 106 seat |
Vancouver Island North (the Conservative leads by four votes). "Seems headed for a recount" says the CBC
A setback for women?
is CBC TV and CBC radio running the same feed?
The womens libbers are mad they lost representation
Unless there's a recount somewhere, or the projections are incorrect, the best you can hope for is a 155 NDP+Liberal one-seat majority. The best the Conservatives can do is 98.
I don't know. I'm listening to CTV and watching CBC.
Average minority government in Canada lasts sixteen months. ---CBC
Yep, the party is over. Stick a fork in it. Still, the CBC called the election a bit too early. They got lucky.
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