As a Jersey boy, I'll be STUNNED if Bush beats Kerry here. Having Kerry expend resources in Jersey when he should not have to is good enough for me. Wouldn't wan't to be thought of as greedy....
I haven't seen a poll out of your state yet where Kerry is romping over Bush. They've all been fairly close (except Rasmussen, who was way off in 2000), dating back the last several months. I've seen enough polls produce this result in NJ for me to believe it's in play--or at the very least, not a Kerry lock.