I suspect he is right, which is why I tend to hope that lots of swing voters (1) see the film, but then (2) find out how thoroughly Moore has sought to deceive them. Could well boomerang on the left and push a few percentage points over to Bush.
Imagine how the media would "greet" an otherwise similar film trying to pick on Kerry instead of Bush. Good lordy.
Having seen a trailer for Fahrenheit 9/11, and having observed the average teenager reaction to scenes in the execrable Saved!, I do not hope that many "sheeple" see Moore's film. That's the first time I've ever used that word "sheeple" in earnest.