Posted on 06/17/2004 1:10:24 PM PDT by KOZ.
The reasons being given why George W. Bush will not be reelected are the very reasons he will be reelected and by an impressive margin. This is because his opponents have grossly failed to judge the nature of America and the character of the man, himself the same way and for the same reasons Ronald Reagans opponents grossly misjudged him and the nature of America during his presidency.
Its no accident that many of those now maligning Bush are of the same crowd in the news media who maligned Reagan. They are still making the same self-defeating mistake of actually believing what they see in the mirrors of distortion they are holding up to America. They didnt understand America then; they dont understand America now.
Here are the principal distortions that condescending leftists are instructing American voters will cause them to defeat Bush in November and why just the opposite is the case.
Distortion: The country is divided, and its all Bushs fault. Correction: America has never been entirely of one mind, but it is certainly less divided now than during or right after the Vietnam War.
The reality is that America is of three minds, not two. There are the far left and the far right (both distinct minorities) and there is a non-stationary middle, occupied by the huge majority of Americans. Increasingly, this great middle has been redefining toward the conservative side.
Bush did not cause that, but is facilitating the shift. The leftists, more and more irresponsibly out of touch with the middle, are the ones accelerating it. America is now a nation more conservative than not, growing ever more united in that direction, not more divided.
How Bush benefits: By identifying with, and leading, this political realignment, Bush gains every step along the way.
Distortion: The economy is in the dumpster, and its all Bushs fault. Correction: No. The economy was shrinking dangerously in the early months of the Bush administration, but no longer. Every economic indicator since January 2004 is on a dramatic upswing.
And no. The Bush recession was in truth caused by events in the administration of Bill Clinton and was well along its downward way when Bush took office. Were it not for Bushs tax cuts, that Clinton recession would have descended right into a Bush depression.
How Bush benefits: The welcome impact of the authentic Bush recovery is just now being realized in Americans daily lives. The more the leftists harp on the economy, the more that will help Bush in November.
Distortion: Bush is bullheaded, and wont take advice from his betters. Correction: Those know-it-alls are the failed practitioners and surly apologists of the Clinton era. The news media call them in to testify at every turn of events, and the more they carp the more obvious become their motivations and their ineffectiveness.
Americans are beginning to realize that what critics call Bushs bullheadedness is in truth a resolute steadfastness of principles.
How Bush benefits: In a world where unfamiliar uncertainty and unprecedented danger lurk, Americans welcome surety of principle and purpose in the presidency. The temptation to change horses in the middle of such a stream has less and less appeal.
Distortion: Bush is politically incorrect, out of step with most Americans. Correction: The opposite is true. The leftists are indulging in self-sycophancy if they think they represent mainstream America.
How Bush benefits: He has the proper posture for reelection in todays America one foot planted firmly in the unshakable, traditional conservative base and the other comfortably far enough into the mostly conservative middle. Neither footing alone is sufficient to win an election; taken together, they constitute an astonishing new majority.
Distortion: Bush is a reckless cowboy, who has put America in greater peril. Correction: If that is so, then for the same reasons so were Ronald Reagan and Franklin D. Roosevelt and Abraham Lincoln. Each was scolded in his time that he was leading America to ruin. Had they lacked the courage to take the risks they took, America would be in ruins today. Bush has demonstrated such courage.
How Bush benefits: Americans are now beginning to see Bush in the true light of historic reality, thanks to the conjunction of three colossal events the birthing of a free Iraq rising out of the Bush-led war of liberation, the 60th commemoration of D-Day launching the liberation of Europe from Nazi tyranny and the surprising outpouring of national affection and respect in remembrance of Ronald Reagan as the kind of president America admires.
Distortion: The Iraq war is a disaster, not worth the cost of undertaking or seeing through to the end. Correction: Not even the press can keep hidden the truth that the liberation of Iraq is one of the noblest acts ever undertaken by any nation in the advancement of human freedom.
How Bush benefits: It is going to be political immolation for the Democratic presidential candidate if he tries to tell American families their sacrifices in Iraq are worthless. Its one thing for John Kerry scornfully to throw away his own medals from the Vietnam War, something else to trash those earned by American troops in Iraq.
Distortion: Bush insists on going it alone, alienating other nations. Correction: He did not go it alone except for feckless France, ungrateful Germany and devious Russia. Now that Bush has done the hard work in Iraq, he has a unanimous Security Council France, Germany and Russia unwilling to go it alone. And he will likely have NATO with him in short order.
How Bush benefits: Beyond that, theres a swelling good-for-Bush feeling in America even if he were to go it alone. Lincoln didnt beg Europes permission. FDR got the approval of only Congress, as did Bush. Reagan went entirely alone to the Berlin Wall and never said, Mr. Gorbachev, if its all right with you, please tear down this wall. Kerry will have tough sledding advocating groveling.
Distortion: Bush isnt qualified intellectually, simply not up to the job. Correction: That was easy to say four years ago, impossible to peddle now. America and the world have seen the stuff of which Bush is made.
How Bush benefits: Here again is the parallel with Reagan, who it is now clear knew exactly what he was doing while just about everyone else was dithering.
Kerry is the one who has the unassailable record of flipping and flopping, triple-tonguing an uncertain trumpet, groping around for a running mate agile enough to hop on first one foot and then the other keeping up with Kerry from moment to moment.
So waste no time listening to leftist politicians and news-media mind-minders who complain about this and grump about that when characterizing Bush. Of course they dont like him, for all the reasons they give.
Its precisely because of those reasons that, to their doom and gloom, George W. Bush is going to win reelection and win big.
Thats the kind of America that America really is.
I just wish the Republicans would run a conservative for President. I miss you Barry Goldwater. We indeed have become a nation of bread and circuses.
"Rather than useful jobs in our country, people have been offered bureaucratic "make work," rather than moral leadership, they have been given bread and circuses, spectacles, and, yes, they have even been given scandals. Tonight there is violence in our streets, corruption in our highest offices, aimlessness among our youth, anxiety among our elders and there is a virtual despair among the many who look beyond material success for the inner meaning of their lives. Where examples of morality should be set, the opposite is seen. Small men, seeking great wealth or power, have too often and too long turned even the highest levels of public service into mere personal opportunity"
"I believe that we must look beyond the defense of freedom today to its extension tomorrow. I believe that the communism which boasts it will bury us will, instead, give way to the forces of freedom. And I can see in the distant and yet recognizable future the outlines of a world worthy our dedication, our every risk, our every effort, our every sacrifice along the way. Yes, a world that will redeem the suffering of those who will be liberated from tyranny. I can see and I suggest that all thoughtful men must contemplate the flowering of an Atlantic civilization, the whole world of Europe unified and free, trading openly across its borders, communicating openly across the world. This is a goal far, far more meaningful than a moon shot." --Goldwater's 1964 Acceptance Speech
Historic things are happening and the media is keeping silent on them because of their bias. The truth of Saddam is being swept under a rug because these liars are afraid it might help Bush. The corrupt rotteness of our "press" is enough to turn your stomach.
I hope you're right. I think Bush is 75% likely to win. I'd call it as follows.
Bush 54 Kerry 46 - (40 states to 10) 25% Likely
Bush 51 Kerry 49 - (33 states to 17, no one goes to bed earlier than 2 am) 50% likely
Kerry 52 - Bush 48- (32 states to 18) - 25% likely.
25% is likely enough to be scary. November is time to walk precincts at GOTV.
Exactly what I tell a "moderate" friend here. I call him wishy=washy and tell him he can't make up his mind.
You go and have his name taken off voting roll, I did as I moved from town to another. went to city hall and had my name removed and stood there till the girl took me off.
This happens every election summer. Most people who don't pay all that much attention to politics don't even begin to make up their mind until after Labor Day and the debates.
Most of the polls conducted now are surveying people who will answer their phone and spend the time. This means liberals, unemployed, and others with a lot of time on their hands. This group is anything BUT the core of the electorate.
there was an article here a few days ago talking about how the core of RATS is a constant 22-24% of thier registered voters. and that the real factor in the election is the conservative base. when the pub running is staunch conservative, many pubs come out to vote. when he's a rhino (dole) nobody shows and the RAT wins. that is the best analysis i've seen on here.
if bush remains conservative and doesnt go wishy washy, i feel he will win. if he starts to slide and want to please everybody, we're screwed.
That would be so sweet!!!! I hope and pray you're right!!
That's because the lamestream press doesn't dare mention the scale of vote fraud.
There's a lot going on that would make people angry enough to kill. And the press is not going to touch those issues.
Bookmark it, I said two weeks ago that Bush would start picking up and be ahead in the polls by the end of this week, and I also said he will never be behind again, and go on go win by a landslide... Mark my words
i've heard about it...but never seen anything major reported. do you have sources / proof for it?
I don't believe Kerry can break 40% on election night BUT I DO believe that the Demon party is looking to lock up the presidency by fair means or foul and that they are working on ALL of the contingencies...RIGHT THIS MINUTE. With dead and illegal voters they will try to steal what they can't win.
Admirable..Would you settle for the results of the Goldwater candidacy?
It would be nice to see, though I will watch Fox News on Election Day. The liberal recaps (read: rants) I will read on Free Republic.
I'm going to act like a college professor for a moment (a rare CONSERVATIVE one). My tentative class title: Voter Fraud (and how to combat it). Required Reading: "At Any Cost: How Al Gore Tried To Steal The Election" by Bill Sammon (aka "Stretch" as W calls him in the WH Press Corps).
If you cannot afford this book, read some of the recaps right here on Free Republic. Look for Gore+steal+election in the Browse window.
138 days to go until the election. Homework assignments:
1. Vote
2. If you need transportation to the booth, call someone
3. Offer yourself to drive to the polls those who cannot get there themselves.
There'll be a quiz on this later. We dare not fail it.
Call me greedy .. but I want all 50 States :0)
The most visible evidence is in inner city precincts where 100.2% of the voting-age population turns out even though 17% are convicted felons and another 20% are elderly shut-ins. This simply isn't plausible. Each major city has a few precincts like that - tens of thousands of fraudulent votes per city. Add the nursing home absentee ballot fraud, multiple voting, registration of illegals, etc. and the numbers easily climb into the millions nationwide.
From your lips to God's ears! Seriously, even those people who tell me they're Democrats tell me they're NOT voting for/not excited about/have serious concerns about JF'nKerry. When even hard-core Dems don't like him, he's got a problem.
This is another excellent analysis by Mr. Perry; I love his stuff!
DO you have any actual PROOF that the Dems have the slightest chance of attaining a landslide Gene? Anything? Anything at all???
I agree with the premise. When this turns out to be a 10%+ election win for President Bush, I'm going to want a WHOLE lot of answers from the media and polling outfits on how they tried to influence this election with their propaganda.
Specially that Rasmussen Daily poll that shows it as a dead heat EVERY single day!
Turnout is the key...they aren't passionate about Kerry, just against Bush..We are passionate about Bush and against Kerry...We need to get out our vote.
interestingly, i just picked up the mail and got the newest issue of WND Whistleblower that talks about dems stealing elections. its a good one.
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