[Darth Reagan]

Four points would be consistent with national turnout in the 2000 election, where exit polls showed that 39% of voters identified themselves as Democrats, while 35% identified themselves as Republicans.

[TomEwall]

This was Dales' guess as to what Rasmussen was doing. (using the 2000 exit polls).

[JohnnyZ]

Four points would be consistent with national turnout in the 2000 election, where exit polls showed that 39% of voters identified themselves as Democrats, while 35% identified themselves as Republicans.

Considering that 2000 was a good Democrat year, and with the 72-hour plan, 2004 should be a bit different, and better for Republicans.