Why hasn't 9-11 helped Bush in New York?
I think this poll might reflect griping about McGreevy
-- much as polls in Massachusetts have often reflected griping about Ted Kennedy.
I can certainly believe that there are many conservatives
in New Jersey (and indeed in every state) whose circles of acquaintances are also mainly conservative. It proves nothing. It is quite plausible that 9-11 has caused Jerseyites to look at Bush a bit differently than he is seen in New England, Seattle, or the Bay Area. I don't deny that something of the sort has happened.
I do deny that Bush will win New Jersey. Political fundamentals always reassert themselves at the end of the campaign, if not sooner. And the fundamentals in New Jersey are liberal, not conservative.
I am inclined to agree. If Bush wins NJ, then he has won 48 states including CA.