Posted on 06/14/2004 2:18:17 PM PDT by Momaw Nadon
Sorry I am from Western Washington. A lot of the Republicans that I know are squishy...They are heavily influenced by a liberal media system and the media is crushing the President in every opportunity.
I think that's in the ballpark (pun intended ;-)) and both Tradesports and Iowa Political Futures Markets are more accurate than any poll since it involves people putting their money rather sentiment on a candidate. Its a good check against biased polls like the LAT poll that allegedy shows Kerry with a nationwide lead of seven; in that sample, a lot of people evidently lied to the pollsters and told them what they wanted to hear. President Bush is in good shape and he'll lose only in the event these real-world preference bids change before then. They're not mentioned in the partisan media, so these are probably a reflection of the true state of public opinion in the country.
> Bush gave Americans tax relief, not once, not twice, but three times. Bush has increased defense spending. And Bush remains a strong pro-life President. That's a pretty good conservative record. <
He also gave us the No Child Left Behind act and increases in education spending, a pork-laden farm bill, a pusilanamous response to Dems stonewalling judicial nominees, supports amnesty for illegal aliens, and supported Arlen "RINO" Spector over Pat Toomey.
Yeah, that's a good "conservative" record.
So, what are you going to do? Not vote and put the most liberal Democrat imaginable in the White House?
Not a good strategy, especially considering the number of federal judges retiring in the near future.
No, but I'm not going to pretend that George Bush is the reincarnation of Reagan, or that he's even a conservative; he just the lesser of two evils and quite a "lesser" at that.
I'm even thinking it might be good for the Pubs to lose this election. Maybe then they'll purge all Bushes and Bushites from the party. AFAIC, the Bushes are part of the Rockefeller wing of the party and not the heirs of Goldwater and Reagan.
"I'm even thinking it might be good for the Pubs to lose this election. Maybe then they'll purge all Bushes and Bushites from the party"
That's a moronic statement. Judges are forever... it's not worth it.
The cost of putting a radical liberal like Kerry in the position to appoint life-tenured, left-wing judges (who will defecate on the Constitution long after he is gone) is just too drastic.
| Date | Prob. Bush Win | Mean EVs | Std. Dev. |
| 01/21 | 96.8% | 341.5 | 41.1 |
| 01/26 | 95.5% | 334.8 | 40.6 |
| 02/02 | 92.2% | 323.8 | 39.7 |
| 02/09 | 83.0% | 307.8 | 40.3 |
| 02/16 | 78.4% | 300.4 | 39.4 |
| 02/23 | 76.2% | 298.2 | 39.6 |
| 03/01 | 74.5% | 295.9 | 39.3 |
| 03/08 | 68.0% | 289.2 | 39.8 |
| 03/15 | 68.0% | 288.8 | 39.0 |
| 03/22 | 68.5% | 289.3 | 38.8 |
| 03/29 | 69.4% | 290.1 | 38.8 |
| 04/05 | 71.2% | 292.3 | 39.1 |
| 04/12 | 70.4% | 290.6 | 38.1 |
| 04/19 | 68.6% | 288.1 | 36.7 |
| 04/26 | 64.9% | 284.5 | 36.3 |
| 05/03 | 66.3% | 285.7 | 36.3 |
| 05/10 | 65.6% | 285.3 | 36.8 |
| 05/17 | 65.2% | 284.8 | 36.6 |
| 05/24 | 60.0% | 280.3 | 36.9 |
| 05/31 | 61.1% | 281.2 | 36.8 |
| 06/07 | 60.5% | 280.6 | 36.5 |
| 06/14 | 65.0% | 285.0 | 36.6 |
First. The federal government is required by the Constitution, to protect and defend US citizens and US interests from the enemies of freedom. To this extent, PresBush has shown he understands his Constitutional duties as CIC and will use the power of the US military to carry out those requirements.
Second. The goal of tax cuts and tax reform is critical to the conservative agenda and to a healthy economy. Once again, PresBush understands this and has given American workers three separate tax cuts. The Economic Growth and Tax Reform Reconciliation Act of 2001; The Job Creation and Worker Assistance Act of 2002; The Jobs and Growth Tax Relief and Reconciliation Act of 2003.
Third. Another goal of conservatism is a return to more limited government. This is achieved by reducing the money available to the federal government through lower taxation. Lower taxes equal less spending. In this regard, the elimination of waste, fraud and abuse in the bloated bureaucracy of WashDC should be a first priority to smaller government. On this issue, fiscal conservatives have been disappointed with PresBush. There are some extenuating circumstances that are part of this equation. The recession, 9-11 and the WoT wiped out the budget surplus and forced the government to spend more then it had, but it doesn't excuse the fiscal irresponsibility of the GOP Congress. The President ran for POTUS in 2000 on medicare reform and education reform. I supported his ideas for reform, but I don't support the excessive use of taxpayer funds on such liberal social programs. Conservatives generally support abolishing the education department and privatizing medicare and social security.
Fourth. For this one I'll quote Ronald Reagan, from "Abortion and the Conscience of A Nation".
"... we cannot survive as a free nation when some men decide that others are not fit to live and should be abandoned to abortion or infanticide. My Administration is dedicated to the preservation of America as a free land, and there is no cause more important for preserving that freedom than affirming the transcendent right to life of all human beings, the right without which no other rights have any meaning."
Like PresReagan, PresBush is a strong pro-life leader and his opposition to abortion on demand and thr right to life for all human beings, is fully consistent with the Constitution and the modern conservatrive agenda.
As for the issue of illegal immigration. Roughly 80% of Americans oppose amnesty for illegals and most Americans support sealing the borders shut. They also support using the US military to accomplish this goal. On this issue, I fully agree.
See my RE:#69.
Read my manifesto on my profile. It encapsules what I think about the political world. Sorry, President Bush is definitely the lesser of two evils....but I think he is a good man and a good president. He has made some mistakes (I think invading Iraq was one of them), but who hasn't. He has the cajones to assess a situation, make a decision, and stick to his guns. I respect that about him. We are having a hard time keeping the peace in Iraq, but President Bush said this repeatedly right after 9/11. This is not over and it will be a very long battle. Lives will be lost...and they are being lost, but I prefer the battle be fought on foreign soil vs. in our shopping malls, airports, train stations, sports stadiums where U.S. innocents are kill/injured mercilessly.
I love peace and hope for the day that peace will reign again, but it won't for a very long time. Hatred against the west is really strong in the Middle East...coupled with generations of intolerance, suspect, and fanatical religious overtones).
It's impossible to agree with someone on every issue. That includes a President of your own party. I try to pick and choose those issues that mean the most to me, viewed through my practical conservative viewpoint. When I take those issues that mean the most to me and bounce them off PresBush, I find myself in agreement with him roughly 70%-75% of the time.
However, I don't believe Bush is the lesser of two evils. I believe Bush is an instinctive conservative, more then an ideologue. More importantly, Bush supports many of the saame issues I do. OTOH, John Kerry is a liberal Democrat, who I have nothing in common with.
>>>Read my manifesto on my profile.
I gave it a quick look-see. One comment. Whether you and I like it or not, abortion is a political. In fact, its one of the hot button political issues of our time and the USSC made it so. Whatever the SC says, is law of the land. Remember, Marbury v Madison.
Secondly, I don't know why the Marines would be crying over their deployment to Iraq-they only have to stay for a seven month rotation. All Army units-including the NCNG's 30th Brigade-have to pull a year. In any event military votes can't account for more than 5% of the state total (with Bragg, Pope, Seymour Johnson and Lejeune all taken into account) Bush won NC by 14% last time and should be able to cover a 5% margin easily.
We may not be able to take NC's senate seat this year, but we shouldn't worry about losing the states electoral votes.
Thanks jdege!
TradeSports.com has been in operation since 2002.
A good summary of the election. It still comes down to three states: Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio.
That wasn't the holding in MvM.
In Marbury v Madison, the USSC asserted its power to review acts of Congress. The outcome gave the SC power to invalidate whatever it determined as a conflict with the Constitution. Thereby establishing the courts power to declare acts of Congress unconstitutional. The SC under John Marshall emphasized that the Constitution is the supreme law of the land and that the SC is the arbiter and final authority of the Constitution. The result of this ruling set the standard that exists till this day.
Actually it asserted its obligation to review acts of Congress. It's a subtle but important difference. The court is simply to determine whether a law is constitutional, not to decide whether it's consitutional. It has an obligation to determine correctly, but that doesn't mean that its determinations are automatically correct.
The SC under John Marshall emphasized that...the SC is the arbiter and final authority of the Constitution.
He did not say that SCOTUS is the final authority. What he did say was this: "...a law repugnant to the constitution is void, and that courts, as well as other departments, are bound by that instrument."
Clearly, according to him, the courts must conform to the law, not the other way around.
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