Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: pookie18

If all three groups are weighted evenly, Pres. Bush leads Kerry 49-45%. Interesting.


5 posted on 06/10/2004 3:45:07 PM PDT by B Knotts
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: B Knotts

Yeah, I checked what the equal weight groups would lead to given equal the GOP, DIM and Independent breakdowns and I came to the same result as you. I then calculated the weights required to get the LATimes breakdowns the Bush respondents get an 85.1% weight, the Nader+Undecided respondents getting a 93.75% weight and the Dims get a 105.9% weight.

When I weighted the GOP as 45.2%, DIM as 45.5% and Independents as the rest, 9.3%, I get the Bush respondents are now getting an 85.1% weight. And Bush should by the internals in the poll lead 49.2 to 45.2. The Dims are getting a 106.2 weight.


25 posted on 06/10/2004 4:48:44 PM PDT by JLS
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies ]

To: B Knotts

I wonder what the 2002 breakdown was. That would give some interesting national figures.


36 posted on 06/10/2004 7:54:11 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson