Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: BlackRazor
"Reagan was held to only 50.8% because 3rd party candidates got over 8% of the vote in 1980. Otherwise Reagan would have been well over 50%. Carter only got 41.0%, so Reagan had almost a 10-point advantage over him."

My point was that the percentage of the popular vote doesn't necessarily correlate to the electoral vote.

According to your numbers (I still think President Reagan got 50.3%) the most President Reagan could have gotten was 59% of the popular vote - and he did indeed win 90% of the states and around 80% of the electoral votes (of course he did win California).

63 posted on 06/08/2004 11:41:39 AM PDT by Positive
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies ]


To: Positive

My point was that to score a huge electoral college victory of the magnitude of 1980, you would need to also have a substantial win in the popular vote. You seemed to indicate that Bush could win 47 states this year and still lose the popular vote. While that is theoretically true, it's not practically possible. For it to happen, Bush would simultaneously have to experience a near-total collapse in all the dark red states while at precisely the same time surge to narrow wins in most of the dark blue and all of the battleground states.


67 posted on 06/08/2004 12:09:42 PM PDT by BlackRazor
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 63 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson