Just for reference, can we name one incumbent that has surged late in an election? This would be to help ease my mind - (and I mean incumbent, not a VP running for Prez).
This race is much closer then any of us would like - The other fact being, we lost the premise on the economy (the ONE issue that could beat GWB) and we are paying for it now.
The silly ads the GWB team has aired about the Patriot Act are useless and a waste of money - no one (NO ONE) will be voting the Patriot Act over the economy this Nov!
Ads should have been running long ago stating the facts about our economy - stating all the good the GWB economic policies have done - wasting millions on the Patriot Act ads and still losing in National Polls is becoming trouble-some. IMO.
We only have 5 months left - Incumbents typically start pulling ahead by now (or long before). This worries me some.
IA and OR I both think are "strong" Kerry States (in the end). But, PA,WI, MN and NM are all possible pick-up States for GWB - if his campaign stops playing defense.
Truman comes to mind. Ford is another.
I agree totally. Make people see the obvious. It should be an easy point to make -- only a few simple-to-grasp numbers to dangle repeatedly in front of people's faces.
But I'm optimistic on this. If present trends continue with economy/jobs, people are going to get the message.
I question the numbers on this 2004 Projection Chart with regard to Ohio, New Mexico and West Virginia. While I believe the President will win them; they will be squeakers.