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To: little jeremiah

Well, I'll do my best. OK. On June 10th we've got two sets of elections- the European elections (for the European Parliament) and Local elections (for town councils etc). Current polls indicate that Labour (i.e Blair's party) is going to do very badly for various reasons, the most obvious being the War and also a general practice of protest voting against the government in such elections.

I'd guess what's going to happen is that the Labour losses in the Local elections are going to be to the fairly equal advantage of both the Conservatives (who you'd like) and the Lib Dems (who you wouldn't). The Lib Dems are likely to grab quite a few town councils in the North, areas which are traditional Labour heartlands, while the Conservatives may make gains in towns in the South, in which they really need to revive themselves if they're to have any chance of winning the next election. The BNP (fascist thugs) may win a few council seats as well, but only on a fairly small scale. This will doubtless cause a gigantic and generally pointless panic, with lots of media navel gazing.

On the European front, things are less clear. I'd guess Labour will take losses again, and because of the Proportional Representational system used in European elections minor parties will make gains. The most obvious beneficiary of this will be UKIP (UK Independence Party), which campaigns for closed borders and wihdrawal from the EU. Some people here like them- I most definately do not (their leader used to be my local MP when he was still in the Conservative party, and it most definately does not reflect well on UKIP that he's in charge). Other smaller parties may well make gains as well, and the three main parties may find themselves to be squeezed somewhat.

So overall- Labour losses (a good thing), some Tory gains (a good thing) and a good (if almost certainly flash-in-the-pan) showing for UKIP (good depending on whether you like that sort of thing, which I don't)

Hope this helps.


7 posted on 06/08/2004 12:37:39 PM PDT by Ed Thomas
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To: Ed Thomas

Thanks for the information - gives me small clue about the politics in Britain.

On a personal notes - what's your viewpoint on the EU and, why do you not like the UKIP?

TIA


8 posted on 06/08/2004 1:36:13 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Take Back The Rainbow! Take back the word "GAY"!)
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