Bush is very very vulnerable, but Kerry has done absolutely nothing to take the momentum away from Bush. Kerry brings absolutely nothing to the table, he is condescending, unlikable and snobbish.
This election is entirely a referendum on George W. Bush and it is his election to win or Lose -- John kerry has proven that he gives people absolutely no reason to vote for him only an alternative to voting for Bush.
I still maintain that when all is said and done Bush will win by 3-4% and around 300-320 EV.
This seems to be the consensus of many people I talk to here in what is arguably a battleground region of a battleground state. Kerry himself is kind of irrelevant at this point. The Rats might as well be running a mannequin as their candidate (which might be an improvement in some ways, at least as far as not flipping off veterans in front of school children is concerned). The election seems to be coming down to a question of whether or not people want Bush out of there. In my state, at least, it's still an open question at this point.