I agree that Ohio and Florida are key... but even a couple of "small losses" from the 2000 column (say Missouri and Arkansas) could throw this thing, anyway.
On the other hand, 18-Electoral-Vote Michigan starting to trend in Bush's direction (or at least, becoming a Toss-Up) is unexpected, and interesting...
We Win the Iraq Issue, we win the election.
Put your doubts aside and join Steyn in becoming a cheerleader for optimism and hope of our victory in Iraq.
we've actually gone 2/3rds of the way to victory already and success is almost assured. All we need is to avoid defeatism.