[Dales]

I do not know which way things will go. I do not think the race will end up close electorally. I just don't know which guy is going to forge ahead. I think it should be Bush, but I am not convinced it will be.

[ARepublicanForAllReasons]

If some disaster doesn't materialize of it's own accord, Bush wins hands down. He has already been put to the acid test, and appears to be surviving with his base intact. This will impress moderates/undecideds.

I also expect some senstational terrorist attack on US institutions (but not US soil), perhaps shortly before the Republican Convention. But unlike Spain, it will only steel the our national resolve! 'America is evil' will not sell well this year.