To: Momaw Nadon
Pennsylvania is at 50.0% today.
The bid price is 49.0 and the ask price is 53.0. These average to 51.0.
Thus, the tie goes to President Bush.
3 posted on
05/24/2004 7:56:27 AM PDT by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
To: Momaw Nadon
You forgot to factor in the extra 3-5 point boost the Dems get in their
Get out of your mental hospitals, asylums, and graves to vote drives.
11 posted on
05/24/2004 8:12:09 AM PDT by
sanchmo
To: Momaw Nadon
Changes it to:
| Date |
Prob. Bush Win |
Mean EVs |
Std. Dev. |
| 05/24 |
60.2% |
280.5 |
36.9 |
17 posted on
05/24/2004 8:20:56 AM PDT by
jdege
To: Momaw Nadon
How does this reconcile to all the recent polling data that show GWB with a 42 - 46% approval rating? It's difficult to imagine 305 ECV's with an approval under 50%. Seems to be a disconnect somewhere.
To: Momaw Nadon
So why all the sudden pessimism about his winning, even on FR? I don't get it!
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