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Bush and Kerry remain tied among likely voters in Florida
American Research Group ^ | May 20, 2004 | ARG

Posted on 05/20/2004 7:52:29 AM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper

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1 posted on 05/20/2004 7:52:31 AM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

Oh Florida... here we go again !


2 posted on 05/20/2004 7:54:43 AM PDT by traumer
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To: traumer

The 1% difference is actually, due to rounding, just a single voter-- a 90 year old Brower county man by the name of Chad who thinks he may have been confused by the lack of Buchanan in the pollster's question.


3 posted on 05/20/2004 7:57:26 AM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales

I was going to give you a courtesy ping since I found this poll through your website.


4 posted on 05/20/2004 7:59:48 AM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper (I cannot believe I just said that!)
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

Just wonderful
I really really want to see some encouraging news from OH LA and now FLorida
I hope some better numbers start flowing real soon or we are in trouble folks


5 posted on 05/20/2004 8:00:32 AM PDT by DM1
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

In the two polls I've seen lately, the numbers I find interesting say that there are more democrats likely to vote for President Bush right now than republicans likely to vote for Kerry. So they're not all ignorant.


6 posted on 05/20/2004 8:02:21 AM PDT by sandlady
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

;-) Thanks


7 posted on 05/20/2004 8:06:13 AM PDT by Dales
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

Does the poll include likely Democratic DOUBLE-voters?

And dead voters?


8 posted on 05/20/2004 8:08:03 AM PDT by 11th Earl of Mar
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

Republicans in Florida stopped answering polsters awhile ago.

The welfare moms have nothing better to do, though.


9 posted on 05/20/2004 8:08:41 AM PDT by MonroeDNA (Hillary was in charge of the FBI files, which went into a data base: WHoDB. Genious hackers, expose)
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

Having worked for a polling company, I can tell you that these numbers are essentially meaningless.
First of all, It was a telephone poll of only 600 people. That's a very small sample size.
Secondly, you must ask if the 600 people are proportionally representative of the Florida population's demographic profile.
Think about it: who answers these telephone polls? Opinionated people with time on their hands. In Florida, that means welderly (wealthy seniors).
Florida is a battleground state - no question, but a poll of only 600 people cannot be accurately projected to the greater population.


10 posted on 05/20/2004 8:09:30 AM PDT by Ludicrous
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To: MonroeDNA

well, they shouldn't. Polls like this will cause diversion of funds to Florida.

let's not get too excited and claim there is some "hidden vote" for Bush in all these close polls. That never materializes, its going to be a close election.


11 posted on 05/20/2004 8:12:42 AM PDT by oceanview
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

I doubt that the poll includes voters who will cast absentee ballots. These are largely military and they vote overwhelmingly Republican. This is why the treasonous Dems tried so hard to invalidate their votes in 00.


12 posted on 05/20/2004 8:14:31 AM PDT by Inwoodian
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To: marblehead17

Poll ping.


13 posted on 05/20/2004 8:16:50 AM PDT by Darth Reagan
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To: Inwoodian
You are (mostly) correct. Polls will miss overseas military and the like. Some types of LV polls make adjustments to compensate, but most do not and RV polls do not even try.

I do not know if ARG does try to so compensate.

14 posted on 05/20/2004 8:19:05 AM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales

Soon, in the near future, the number of polls will EXCEED the number of voters...


15 posted on 05/20/2004 8:23:30 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to propagate her genes.....any volunteers?)
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To: Dales

:o)
A 'Hanging Chad' ?


16 posted on 05/20/2004 8:23:36 AM PDT by traumer
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To: traumer
lol. Yep, they put him on hold and now he's just hangin'.

Could be worse, he could be pregnant.

17 posted on 05/20/2004 8:25:08 AM PDT by Dales
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To: WinOne4TheGipper

"A total of 47% of likely voters say they would vote for Bush if the presidential election were being held today and 46% say they would vote for Kerry."

If it had been Kerry 47% and Bush 46% the headline would have read "Kerry Surges".


18 posted on 05/20/2004 8:28:14 AM PDT by CzarNicky (The problem with bad ideas is that they seemed like good ideas at the time.)
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To: 11th Earl of Mar
And dead voters?

Hey! You forgot to mention felons.

19 posted on 05/20/2004 8:31:11 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it.)
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To: traumer

I will place a bet that if it is close this time, the democrats will win at all cost. Election 2000 with a twist. I am not looking forward to this ride to election hell. BTW, liberals ae brain dead.


20 posted on 05/20/2004 8:33:21 AM PDT by gathersnomoss
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