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At the Democrats convention in Los Angeles in 1960 I sat with my parents witnessing ballot after ballot from undecided delegates. Finally they settled on JFK. I went outside and saw him pull up in a fancy white(could have been a horse) limo. He entered the convention center and delivered an electrified speech accepting the nomination. While the party was deeply devided going into the convention they emerged with what they felt was a possible contender that could beat Nixon.

44 years later when you see the way that democrats deep sixed Dean and made Kerry their nominee solely due to polling data, indicates to me that history will repeat itself.

Assumming that the rock solid vote today is about 44/44 R/D, the swing vote at about 9% will decide our next election. Everyone knows (and admits) now that Kerry will never be able to convince a majority of the 9% to vote for him. Hillary would be able to ride the "white horse", avoid venting, inspire the dem base, get 99% positive pub from the media and get a chunk of the swing female vote. It could even be said that at such a late stage, the RNC and BC2004 may have spent most of their bullets on Kerry. While the pubbies would rise up against Hillary and open their pocket books for more contributions, the money stream would be too late to pre-book advertising by November. The onslaught of positive media hype for the first female president with a Clinton last name coupled with her VP selection of Edwards and Clark as Secretary of Defense might be overwhelming for Bush.
I pray that my senario and history flashback is way off base. I do worry.

Oh grow up!

The Dem convention is in JULY ! Even with the new constraints on campaign finances,the GOP would have ALL of August ( when the GOP convention is)and ALL of September,to blast Hillary to smithereens.

And most Indies,would NEVER vote for her,though a few might vote for Kerry.

At the Democrats convention in Los Angeles in 1960 I sat with my parents witnessing ballot after ballot from undecided delegates. Finally they settled on JFK.

Just FYI, Kennedy won on the first ballot.