[KQQL]

Yep, Spector will defeat Toomey by 5-6% and he should be gald W and Rick .S were on his side.

W/0 W or R.S Tommey would have won this race by 3-4%

[commish]

I agree 100% with your analysis (as usual LOL). Bush and Santorum are very big boosts to Spector.

The question is, is it enough to get Spector's supporters to the polls. Toomey's support as been very steady and his supporter's are motivated.

I am going to stick by my prediction that low turnout is good for Toomey (meaning it will be a dead heat that could go either way). A moderate turnout will tilt it 2-3% is Spectors favor, and a heavy turnout will produce the 6% win you are predicting.

Heavy turnout is a relative term here --in a primary, I would consider anything over 35-40% to be considered heavy, and anything in the mid thirties as moderate.

[Right Wing Puppy]

I have been telling you guys in other related posts that it is vital that Specter win with regard to Pres. Bush in Nov. Toomey is a far more attractive candidate to me than the snake in the grass Arlen. However, a Toomey win will make PA a write-off in Nov. Specter on the ballot gives W a chance in PA. If W wins PA he wins the election! We need to keep Kerry out of the oval office more than kicking out Scottish Law Arlen from the Senate.

We Freepers need a lesson in strategic warfare!