[BlackRazor]

Unscientific Lancaster New Era Exit Poll Has Toomey Leading Specter, 52-48

On another site, they're saying this poll had a sample size of 113. The MOE on a sample size of 113 is around +/- 9%. If that's really how small the sample size was, we can't gauge anything from this.

[LdSentinal]

If that's the case you're right. Nothing can be accurately gauged from a poll with that small of a sample.

Here's hoping to a Toomey victory.

[Galactic Overlord-In-Chief]

Don't conservative voters vote after they get off from work? I don't know if it's quitting time yet in PA.

[ContemptofCourt]

From the article:

On the other hand, voters who chose Specter, who is pro-choice, said they did so because of his seniority in the Senate, and more importantly because of President Bush's endorsement.

"I think Toomey is probably a good man, but President Bush really influenced me, because I am for President Bush and everything he does,'' said Mary Habecker, 68, a retired secretary from East Hempfield Township.

Dave Hanson, 63, a Maytown missionary who runs a Christian retreat center, said: "It was a tough choice. I like Toomey, but I voted for Specter because ultimately I want Bush to hang on to the Senate. He needs Specter for that.

"I don't agree with (Specter) on abortion rights, but I want to put Bush through in November. I want to encourage Bush. He's a godly man,'' Hanson said.

The New Era exit poll is only a snapshot of early morning voting activity, but it has proven in past years to be a reliable indicator of voter preferences. The survey was conducted by eight New Era reporters.

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Bottom line is this....Lancaster is very conservative. The general consensus is that Specter wins Philly and Pittsburgh, and Toomey carries the 'T'. However, Toomey needs to really carry the 'T' to win, and it does not look like he is going to do it.

Like I said, the Bush endorsement is going to lose this for Toomey.