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I think you're right, they're only committed for the first ballot.

But I think they're stuck with Kerry. While I don't put anything past them I can't recall a switch in modern history either before or after the convention with the exception of Eagleton. Certainly if they wanted to change it would have been McGovern or Dukakis, who had terrible polling numbers before the convention which is probably the reason they couldn't field a viable candidate; internal polling probably told them that the incumbent was going to win regardless of who they were running against. It's probably why we got Dole....

As for Hillary I don't buy it. I don't think she's a mental giant or anything, but again, I suspect the dims internal polling is showing some grim numbers. She's not going to burn her one shot against an incumbent and right now the pubies don't have anybody obvious for '08. That'll be her shot.

So I'm expecting some good entertainment, maybe even some Mondale moments between now and then.

Of course I could be wrong....(hehe)

Just occurred to me thinking of a Mondale moment...if John F'ing Kerry cried would we be able to tell?

the pubies don't have anybody obvious for '08. That'll be her shot.

Rudy Guiliani, Colin Powell, Bill Frist to name a few.