[AuH2ORepublican]

In April, 2 FL polls have come out, one a Mason-Dixon poll showing Bush 8% ahead of Kerry, the second a Rasmussen poll that doesn't include Nader and in which Kerry leads by only 1% (2% less than last month's Rasmussen poll). I would have kept FL at slight lean to Bush.

[TomEwall]

I think he moved it to toss-up because all the other polls showed Kerry ahead, so there's only been on +Bush poll.