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To: AntiGuv
Delaware has only three electoral votes, but with its neighbors Pennsylvania and New Jersey trending toward Bush, it is hard to believe that Delaware should be counted as strongly pro-Kerry. The Wilmington metro area is part of the East Coast megalopolis, closely allied with metro Philadelphia. If the other parts of the Delaware Valley are not strongly pro-Kerry, it is hard to believe that metro Wilmington would differ. The rest of the state is rural, with demographics closer to the Tidewater South than to the rural Northeast: a basically English-American, Protestant (usually Methodist) majority and a large African-American minority. Agriculture (mostly poultry) and tourism are the principal industries, not unlike the Tidewater areas of the states to Delaware's south. Dover, the capital city, has the usual characteristics of state capitals, with a large number of liberal-leaning state employees.

The bottom line is that Delaware should be in play in this election.

22 posted on 04/14/2004 1:12:17 PM PDT by Wallace T.
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To: Wallace T.
The bottom line is that Delaware should be in play in this election.

Don't know where you're located, so you may already know this, but Bush has been advertising heavily on the Salisbury MD TV stations (which serve Dover and southern Delaware as well as the Eastern Shore of MD) as well as via cable. Salisbury is a cheap TV market.

Meanwhile, Sussex County has been growing at nearly twice the rate of New Castle (Wilmington). But the latter still has 64% of the population so I think Dales is basically correct. My guess is the Bush would like to drive up their numbers in Kent and Sussex and try to force Kerry to buy more in the far more expensive Philadelphia TV market than he would otherwise.

65 posted on 04/14/2004 4:32:36 PM PDT by Heatseeker
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To: Wallace T.
Do you really believe that Pennsylvania and New Jersey are leaning toward Bush? That's two states he lost in 2000. When I saw that in the poll I almost fell out of my chair. Does anyone out there really believe that GW has a chance of taking PA and NJ?
86 posted on 04/14/2004 6:58:08 PM PDT by no dems
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