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There are 500,000 civilians there with maybe 5,000 hardcore dead-enders. Those dudes really think that we will ultimately go home and that Saddam will be back in power. We might and He might.

It does not take a wizard to come up with scenarios, many involved JFingKerry, that could lead to this. Heck, he might even be sprung during his trial if enough iraqis are allowed near him, especially since they will have their sovereignty back in June. The bad guys are good at planning deception and at backstabbing. Al Qaeda is also crawling in this muck. They are good at making political changes via brutality. Combine that with half of the world's democracies on Saddams side (without admitting it) out of hatred of American style freedom and power, the bad guys have about a 50/50 chance. The sheep there know it. The VC knew it when they CLOSELY tracked our political opportunites and election cycles, playing us like a fiddle.

I am optimistic - but the best chance we have is to find and kill evil men in Iraq rather than going with the flow which is mostly designed to flow against the forces of good.