FYI...Ronald Reagan, at this point in his first term, had lower poll numbers,in EVERY poll, than President Bush has right now and there was NO FNC then, NO Internet, NO national talk radio shows and NO FR!
How can you "believe in history", when you don't know any?
JMO, but predicitng something 7 months before is not being "realistic". A lot of things can and will happen.
I guess you think that Miss Cleo is also "realistic".