Dick Morris: Kerry’s Ides of March

I agree. Think "Torricelli".

Now you got me craving Italian food.

(What? Tetrazini? . . . Never mind.)

Dickie is like every one else I hear or read. You chew the meat and you spit out the bones.

Blessings, Bobo

"If Gephart finished higher in the primaries, I'd agree. But he had little support from the start and dropped out early. The Dims have gathered around Kerry, just because they think he's "electable". So, even though Gephart has more real substance to him, I don't think they'll hitch their wagon to someone they see as a loser."

Hey there Dave,
I was kidding... Clearly Gephart is out, I only wanted to make the case that Dick Morris has been wrong before... very wrong. I still love reading his stuff though.

Yes, you may be correct-all "ratings issue." It just jacked me up that IMAN tossed in the towel when the going got rough for GWB. He had been a Bush supporter but caved when all the Dims were pounding incessantly on Bush. What a weenie.

Was also distressed to hear Bo Deetle was a personal friend of Kerry. I tuned out some time ago...

Please see post 44.

Well, only minor difference of opinion here. However, Feb.20- NEWSMAX -Morris said "GOP in danger of extinction." Further:"...Bush must run up a down escalator just to stay even."

Today-NY POST-posted here on FR by Kattracks-A Bush Blowout in the making; by Dick Morris-"...I have doubted the conventional wisdom that this election would be close. If Bush continues to stay on the offensive and Kerry's responses remain as inept as they've been, the Massachusetts Democrat will go downhill faster than he is now doing on his skiing vacation."

Morris further says, "...This Democrat is not ready to run for president, and the more the Republicans press him, the more he will self-destruct. His campaign advisers are hoping that a few hours extra sleep on his ski trip will restore his political judgment, but they ignor the fact that he never had a lot to begin with."

Consistent? Inconsistent? Just hope Morris is right THIS time!

Hey! You! Dick! Rasmussen Twist: Kerry Leads Bush by 3, Shift of 6 Points vs. Yesterday

"I keep hearing that attitude towards him on FR, but I don't find it true at all. His tune all along has been that Kerry is too Liberal for America, but Bush can still lose if he fails to educate americans of that fact. He was the number 1 proponent of Bush going negative against Kerry. And now it looks like he was right."

Sorry, but I can't help it.

Look what Dickie is saying today.

"Dubya In Trouble
By Dick Morris

Both of the polling organizations that track the presidential race in daily surveys have concluded that the contest has settled into a stalemate. Scott Rasmussen reports that for eight of the last nine days, President Bush has gotten 45 to 46 percent of the vote, while Sen. John Kerry ranged from 44 to 46 percent. John Zogby shows Kerry ahead by three and reports little movement either way.

This "tie" is terrible news for the Bush camp.

One of the (very few) immutable laws of politics is that the undecided vote almost always goes against the incumbent. Consider the past seven presidential elections in which an incumbent ran (1964, '72, '76, '80, '84, '92, and '96) - that is, look at the final vote versus the last Gallup or Harris polls. My analysis shows that the challengers (Goldwater, McGovern, Carter, Reagan, Mondale, Perot, Clinton, and Dole) got 85 percent of the undecided vote. Even incumbents who won got only 15 percent of those who reported that they were undecided in the final polls.

So . . . when Bush and Kerry are tied, the challenger really has the upper hand.

More bad news for Bush: Democrats usually grow 2-3 points right before Election Day as downscale voters who have not paid much attention to the election, suddenly tune in and "come home" to their traditional Democratic Party moorings. Remember, virtually every poll (except Zogby) showed Bush slightly ahead of Al Gore as the 2000 election approached - yet Gore outpolled Bush by 500,000 votes.

Now maybe you know why we say he changes his tune on a regular basis ;)

Qwinn