Replies

>>>While the risk factor for women is quite possibly higher for women than men in hetero contact

Vastly higher. Compare unheard-of (men) to difficult (women)

>>...the statistics fumento is using (from CDC) don't support that it is anywhere near as difficult for men to get AIDS from women as you imply. Men getting AIDS from women is about 4,000 to 5,000 per year and women getting AIDS from men is about 6,300 to 7,500 per year.

Correction, that is Men CLAIMING to have gotten AIDS heterosexually. Who would lie about being a junkie or bisexual? The CDC makes no effort to validate these claims. The NYC health department used to, and they ALWAYS found that the patient was lying. One of the comments above recounts the joke.

>>What is your source for your estimated number (500-1000) of risk encounters necessary for transmission?

Professor Padian, UC Berkeley. Search the web, or go straight to fumento.com, which will cite it.

62 posted on 03/19/2004 12:43:57 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed (Your Friendly Freeper Patent Attorney)

Am I looking for Nancy or Kevin Padian or Padian Lab at Berkeley? Could you link to something?

64 posted on 03/19/2004 12:49:04 PM PST by blanknoone (Give Kerry enough nuance, and he will hang himself.)

Nevermind, I found your source. A single 96 person sample size study is not very convincing. I'm not saying its wrong...only that that is not great evidence. They also peg the male to female transmission awfully low at 0.1%. That would apply to both male hetero and male bisexual carriers...yet there are still more than 6,000 cases a year.

68 posted on 03/19/2004 1:04:55 PM PST by blanknoone (Give Kerry enough nuance, and he will hang himself.)

Another issue with that study...the couples in the study knew their partner had the virus and were using condoms!

70 posted on 03/19/2004 1:28:49 PM PST by blanknoone (Give Kerry enough nuance, and he will hang himself.)

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