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To be precise, a 4% swing would have given Dukakis the following states:

California, Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Vermont.

Added to the 10 states he won (HI, IA, MA, MN, NY, OR, RI, WA, WV, WI) and DC that would've given Dukakis 279 electoral votes to 256 for Bush.

I hope that puts things in perspective.

The facts:

Party: Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE)
Leader: Jose Luis RODRIGUEZ ZAPATERO
Seats won in this election to the Chamber of Deputies:164
Seats won in this election to the Senate: 81


Party: People’s Party (PP)
Leader: Mariano RAJOY
Seats won in this election to the Chamber of Deputies:148
Seats won in this election to the Senate: 102

The Socialists WON with a close 164-148 plurality.(Not an absolute majority in the 350-member Chamber).

The Peoples Party LEADs the Senate elections, with 102-81 of the direct votes of 208 seats this week.

The remaining 51 Senate seats, are appointed by the Legislative Assemblies of the 17 Spanish Autonomous Communities – Comunidades Autónomas - in the following way: these Assemblies appoint one Senator each, plus one more for every million inhabitants who live within the Autonomous Community.

Now in 2000:


Party: People’s Party (PP)
Seats won in last election to the Chamber of Deputies: 183
Seats won in last election to the Senate: 127

Party: Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE)
Seats won in last election to the Chamber of Deputies: 125
Seats won in last election to the Senate: 61

2000 was a much greater "LANDSLIDE" with the PP gaining more than 50% of each Congress