Election Returns web Site- Illinois Primary

week-TV ^ | 16 Mar 2004

[RWR8189]

I voted around 3pm in my NW burb (Cook) and the poll people told me that turn out was very low.

Lower for the GOP than the Dems, but still low all around.

It'll be interesting to see if that was the case throughout the state.

[Clintonfatigued]

Actually, he spent something like $35 million on the primary. He'll never run for anything again. The big surprise here (expept to JohnnyZ, who predicted it) is how poorly Dan Hynes performed. As a two-term elected statewide officeholder, he was the initial favorite. In retrospect, his resume was more formidible than he was. This IMHO casts doubts about his future viability as a candidate.

[Clintonfatigued]

Well, it depends on the nature of the revelation. If some 'Rat supporters have copies of the files and plan to release them shortly before the election, than Ryan has an obligation to come clean. The portion of the divorce files that remain sealed involve the custody arrangement. The rumor mill is abuzz with speculation about what's in there, and there's no sign the issue is going to go away.

[Theodore R.]

The only way Obama loses is if some liberals think it says "Osama" on the ballot. Still, the Democrats are determined to win in IL, and they do.

[NotJustAnotherPrettyFace]

No contest in the GOP Presidential race = not enough incentive for the average voter to get out and vote. Senate race with too many candidates dilutes the pool so much that the avg. voter is just going to wait and see who the front runner is. Plus, there's George Ryan Fatigue. Unfortunately that's the reality. So that means we all need to get out there and work our fannies off locally to help pull this one off for Bush & Ryan.

[NotJustAnotherPrettyFace]

Cook County results

Total votes posted in Cook County with 99% of precincts reporting:
Republican 117145 Democratic 277979

[Steve_Stifler]

So what, exactly, is the speculation for those of us not in the Illinois loop?

[LdSentinal]

DC Sachs just changed his prediction from Democrat takeover to a Republican hold.

Illinois Predictions

[JohnnyZ]

DC Sachs just changed his prediction from Democrat takeover to a Republican hold.

Hmmm . . . not sure if I agree with that movement. I've been going the other way given the attacks on Jack's previously spotless image.

However, Jack ran a great campaign in the primary, so if he can neutralize the divorce issue he'll be in pretty good shape.

[Hillary's Lovely Legs]

What is in those sealed documents is not pretty. Be prepared for some really funky stuff to be leaked out of them.

[supercat]

Hull 61,685 7.4% Sure! MUHAHAHAHAHA!!!

How about

LaRouche 3,683 0.3%

?

He actually bought radio ads on WLS--not quite sure why. Can anyone explain?

[KQQL]

Unless Rayan's Divorce or marriage was weird...there is good chance GOP hold the IL seat.

No way Obama wins in IL

[KQQL]

Unless Ryan's Divorce or marriage was weird...there is good chance GOP hold the IL seat.

No way Obama wins in IL

[ambrose]

Carol Mostly-Fraud won there.

[KQQL]

But she was woman ...born and bread in IL.

He's African 1/2

[KQQL]

U.S. Senate (Dem)
11504 of 11745 Precincts (98%)
Barack Obama 640,707 53%
Dan Hynes 288,176 24%
Blair Hull 130,944 11%
Maria Pappas 73,485 6%
Gery Chico 52,105 4%
Nancy Skinner 15,651 1%
Joyce Washington 12,973 1%


U.S. Senate (Rep)
11504 of 11745 Precincts (98%)
Jack Ryan 226,679 36%
Jim Oberweis 149,198 24%
S. Rauschenberger 124,433 20%
Andy McKenna 93,790 15%
Jonathan Wright 16,697 3%
John Borling 12,889 2%
Norm Hill 5,489 1%
Chirinjeev Kathuria 4,920 1%
http://week.com/election/results.asp#66

---

vs
-------
SurveyUSA poll:

U.S. Senate, IL Dem Primary
3/15/2004

Obama
50%

Hynes
20%

Hull
16%

Pappas
7%

Chico 4%
Other/Undecided 4%
Data Collected
3/14/04

Geography
State of Illinois

Sample Population
516 Certain Voters

Margin of Error
4.4%

Client
WBBM-TV Chicago


U.S. Senate, IL GOP Primary
3/15/2004

Ryan
33%

Oberweis
24%

Rauschenberger
21%

McKenna
13%

Borling 2%
Other/Undecided 7%
Data Collected
3/14/04

Geography
State of Illinois

Sample Population
293 Certain Voters

Margin of Error
5.8%

http://surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

[JohnnyZ]

Unless Rayan's Divorce or marriage was weird...there is good chance GOP hold the IL seat. No way Obama wins in IL

So which is it? Does Ryan have a "good chance" and Obama have less chance, or is there "no way" Obama wins, which means it's guaranteed for Jack?

[LandOfLincolnGOP]

No way Obama wins in IL

I'm not sure how you can be so confident. Obama is widely admired, a good speaker, a dedicated Christian, and pretty good looking to boot. Illinois has elected African Americans statewide in the past, and with the exception of Fitzgerald (who was running against an incredibly weak opponent), Illinois never elects pro-life federal candidates.

This is an uphill battle for Ryan. Personally, I don't have a lot of faith that the party is going to come across with the type of money we'll need to win this race, particularly with previously safe states like Colorado in play now, I wouldn't be surprised to see Ryan essentially left in the wind.

I hope I'm wrong, but we'll see.

[unspun]

NG,
Your points are fine. However this uphill climb will occur on a mudslide if Jack Ryan doesn't get the divorce papers issue off the table. And in "Christendom," that is most often done by "coming to the light." Perhaps he should think of us Illinoisians and all of Americans, including those 1.2M/yr. killed, as being as important in the eyes of his Maker and Judge, as his own son.
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