However, my expected value matches yours. I'll have to try it again over the weekend with more iterations and see why we're so different. One reason may be that I'm not using a Monte Carlo tool, I'm using home-grown randomization in MS Access. I'll try using some decision tools and see how they differ. You'll see from earlier posts that a 51-node decision tree is too much for my tools. I'll try running an analysis using my 9 supernode tree and see what comes out.
-PJ