[JTG]

I see Bush winning Minnesota and Wisconsin, and Kerry possibly winning Florida. I think that Arizona is safe for Bush, and that Oregon and Washington are safe for Kerry(although Nader could put those in play for Bush). I think Bush will still carry New Hampshire and has a shot to carry Maine.

[amordei]

Kerry will not even compete in Florida. He will use his limited funds on states with a better return.

[longtermmemmory]

I wold not take that FL bet. Kerry is not running any commercials in FL. It is as if he has conceeded the state.

Kerry has a problem in Miami with the elderly who have issues with his social agenda. (Homosexual marriage impacting social security and immigration. Security for Israel. National Security, there are two major seaports in the area.)

In FL the democrat party is essentially run by the teacher's union. Redistricting went from bad to worse for them. (BTW anytime you see congressman Meeks, it must be a payoff to FL democrats.)