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To: DannyTN
All marginal country to one degree or other Russian allie: Serbia, Makedonia, Greece, Cyprus, Armenia, Ethiopia, India and other like Georgia is strategic importance to interviene....Russia can produce enough oil for most West needs, she and England and Mexico.

I think one more goodly strike in US...say maybe not 3k but 30k+ dead and US finally sombor up from own lunacy and politicals will be under major pressure to do full war.

57 posted on 03/15/2004 7:44:47 AM PST by RussianConservative (Xristos: the Light of the World)
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To: RussianConservative
Well I think their plan is in turmoil now, they went from having Afghanistan and a supporter in Saddam, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia to not having much of anything. They are still trying though, but I'm not sure they still have a coherent plan right now other than not to avoid being completely discounted.

I don't think there will be full scale war in any event, unless we link China to funding the terrorists.

The U.S. will stay the course. We'll track the funds and eliminate a state or two who supported the terrorists. But it will most likely be Syria and Iran. That won't require a full scale war. Both will fall faster than Iraq. Noone will come to their defense. Although Russia will act nervous. And the typical fear of American agression will manifest in the usual players. However we will have to do both at the same time. My guess is a quick thrust through Syria first, followed by a longer campaign in Iran. Then again, Iran would likely fall, if we said we were coming. They didn't have the experience of Iraq that tried an uprising thinking they had our support and we didn't do anything.

What might happen with another attack though is that the U.S. might become more serious about changing the culture of our conquests.

The only thing that I think would change that is the cost. However the cost of the war is desceptive. The replacement cost of weapons is not as large as the original cost, because the development costs have been paid for. Also a large part of the cost is troops and equipment we would have had ready for defense anyway. So it's hard to tell how much incremental cost is really due to the war.
58 posted on 03/15/2004 9:18:14 AM PST by DannyTN
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