[Betaille]

"I predict a Bush win with at least 300 electoral votes, maybe 325."
I agree. This will be the result as long as Dubya gets his message out. However, if Rove continues with his current advertising methods and never articulates a message(positive or negative), it could be a heavy loss.

[OneTimeLurker]

"This will be the result as long as Dubya gets his message out. "

IMO like all incumbents, Bush no longer really has a message that people are interested in. He now has a record. Unless more jobs are created (i.e., more than the 21K government jobs last month), he is going to loose. His only second option is to slam Kerry and that alone won't rule the day as far as I am concerned.