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"Nice little smoke screen you've got going....."

Not at all... where do you get that from? I think Bush will probably win... I just don't like the 50-50 nation myth. Bush will either articulate his message and win solidly... or fail to do so and lose solidly.
How does that make me a traitor? I have been as pro-Bush as anyone for the last 2 years and I am rooting for him and voting for him. I was also the most optimistic until I saw Rove's weak first batch of campaign ads. Look at my postings from before thursday if you need any proof of that.

I don't think that the present ads are weak in any way. They were designed to inform/remind, not to inflame/attack. I also believe that Carl knew exactly how the dims would react to these ads (we have "people" whose job it is to know these things). With the fake outrage that the dims are propagating about the 9/11 reference, these ads have received huge airplay at a cost of 0$...priceless.

It was a stinging attack the President launched on kerry's voting record today. Couple this with the blistering coverage on FoxNews (tonight) of kerry's Vietnam War record/protesting/activism/Senate testimony. Then there was Carl Cameron's report on kerry mentioning that he had called certain "un-named" foreign leaders who told him that although they can't say so publicly...that they do endorse him...compel him to win so he can set a "new direction". Then (in a Wesley Clark style of "blunder") kerry used several "un-named sources" to promote several whacked-out "anti-Bush" conspiracy theories.

His polish is wearing thin, and his image and truthfulness are starting to erode. President Bush will make him die the death of a thousand papercuts, not quickly as in a Sumari-style attack. The administration is starting a twenty-five mile marathon run, and what we are witnessing now is stretching and warming-up. The gun has sounded, and kerry has sprinted through the first few miles. He is winded, weary, and has a 'fresh" President passing him on the outside.

As Dennis Miller says, "That's my opinion; I could be wrong".

LLS

I was also the most optimistic until I saw Rove's weak first batch of campaign ads.

I thought the opening ads were perfect. They were positive, uplifting, and optimistic in regards to the nation, it's future and his leadership. Very "Reaganesque" in style and content. A perfect counter to the shrill negativity of the DemoRats.

If Bush, and Rove, continue this approach, then there's a chance of a better campaign and a larger victory.