How do you know?
Well, I don't suppose anybody can know for sure. But it makes a certain amount of sense. If Bush were to be in trouble, this would mean that Americans are leaning towards Kerry. I would find that extremely difficult to believe.
I suppose it could be true (anything's possible) but if true it wouldn't bode will for the overall intelligence of the American people. People are stupid, sure, but are they that stupid? It would be tatamount to national suicide. Kerry is such an obvious shyster- he makes Clinton look like a straight laced choir boy in comparison. If the American populace want to see Kerry in office- woe be unto us all.