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Kerry's insurmountable problem is his presentation: he's the teacher's pet the rest of us hated in school. Whenever he talks, he inevitably falls into the pattern of the smartass who has to talk down to you, you poor fool, because he's so much smarter, better educated, and richer than you. By the fall, Kerry will be the butt of so many jokes and cartoons he'll need to go into hiding after he loses the election.

pabianice,

I think you hit on something important. Many independents vote based on likability. I think Senator Kerry comes off as not very likable. On top of that, he's sooo boring. His speeches are so nuanced, that I think most people will react by saying wow this guy is such a professional politician. In the end, President Bush will come out on top, I'm pretty sure of it.

The dems are making hay out of any issue they think they can exploit. As far as I can tell, those issues are actually few and far between.

I love issues, I study issues thoroughly. On issues, the President should wipe the floor with his opponent. However, swing voters, I believe, don't base their votes on a deep understanding of issues. I think, when it gets right down to it, these all-important voters make decisions based on who they think they like and trust. We are very fortunate that President Bush also shines in these areas. Again, IMO.