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Bond passage spurs agencies to improve state credit rating (outlook)
AP via San Diego Union Tribune ^ | March 3, 2004 | Jim Wasserman

Posted on 03/03/2004 7:34:08 PM PST by calcowgirl

LOS ANGELES – In the first positive news for California's battered credit ratings in three years, two bond rating agencies issued slight improvements Wednesday to the state's credit status.

The minor boosts came a day after voters approved a $15 billion bond measure championed by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger to pay off $14 billion in short-term debt. State officials called Tuesday's bond the largest in U.S. municipal bond history.

State Controller Steve Westley called the improvements "a sign that Wall Street is pleased to see California beginning to head back in the right direction financially."

Standard and Poors, which last July downgraded the state government's credit ratings to just above junk bond status, cited "positive implications" Wednesday in making the change.

Moody's Investors Service changed the state's bond ratings outlook from negative to stable.

Neither firm actually upgraded the state's ratings, which determine interest rates and risk for investors buying state bonds.

But both moves represent the first positive movement since January 2001, when S&P issued its first downgrade amid fears of energy blackouts, rising electricity costs and negative financial consequences.

Moody's did the same amid the growing energy crisis in May 2001. Until Wednesday, their downgrades had routinely worsened, giving California's state government the worst credit ratings among 50 states.

"It's a welcome change from the steady stream of negative reports in recent years," said Schwarzenegger spokesman H.D. Palmer.

He said the positive and immediate response to the bond's passage shows California is now seen as serious about getting its finances in order under Schwarzenegger.

The two agencies still warned Wednesday that California's window of opportunity to balance its budget is slipping away.

In a statement, Moody's said the state needs to establish a budget reserve fund and show evidence of stronger financial management.

Standard and Poors credit analyst David Hitchcock said his firm will upgrade California's ratings "to the extent the state uses the time provided by the new bond proceeds to reduce its structural deficit."

That means erasing a $15 billion gap between revenue and spending that still looms over a budget for the new 2004-2005 fiscal year that begins on July 1.

State Treasurer Phil Angelides, who has called for a mixture of cuts and tax hikes, cited the reports as proof that "the hard work begins today."

Angelides has repeatedly criticized Schwarzenegger's budget cuts for their impact on the poor and called for raising income taxes on the richest 1 percent of Californians. He said that would raise $3 billion next year, and $2.4 billion the year after.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: bondrating; calbondage; calgov2002; prop57

1 posted on 03/03/2004 7:34:09 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl
It doesn't look like we'll see that structural balance for a while:
LA Times - Bonds a Stopgap Measure for Overspending in Budget
Prop. 57's success allows California to manage past debts. But another shortfall looms.

SACRAMENTO — With the sureness of an emergency room physician, state Finance Director Donna Arduin offers this treatment protocol for an ailing California.

"When you have a patient that is critically ill, there are three steps that need to be taken," she said. "Stop the bleeding. Sustain their condition. And put them on the road to recovery."

The $15-billion deficit bond package approved by voters Tuesday stops the bleeding, Arduin said. But lawmakers and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger must move fast to keep California from lapsing into a coma because it faces another projected budget shortfall — this time, $17 billion — by summer.

"We still need to pass a [2004-05] budget that is fiscally sound, that over the next couple of years will bring us into structural balance," she said.


2 posted on 03/03/2004 7:39:11 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: NormsRevenge; farmfriend; Carry_Okie; SierraWasp; Ernest_at_the_Beach; kellynla; Amerigomag
Ping
3 posted on 03/03/2004 7:40:39 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl
The NY Times reiterates the above, and adds the following:
California Approves Bond Issue, but Fiscal Problems Remain
By JOHN M. BRODER
Published: March 4, 2004

(snip)
Roughly $12 billion of the new borrowing will go to retire existing debt, much of which comes due in June. What sums that remain are to be used to patch holes in the budget for the fiscal year that starts July 1.

After the current debt is retired, the state will still face a major gap between projected revenues and spending over the next several years. Mr. Schwarzenegger has proposed cuts in programs, including state health services and higher education, to reduce the gap, or "structural deficit." But the Democratic-controlled Legislature has balked, and the budget gridlock remains.

"We still have a structural deficit," said Donna Arduin, the state's chief budget officer. "And we still have a lot of difficult decisions to make and tough negotiations ahead."

Leon A. Panetta, a former California congressman who served as director of the Office of Management and Budget during the Clinton administration, said that adding $15 billion in new debt to the state's already overburdened budget was the worst possible solution — except for all the others.

"We're in a period of borrow and spend almost everywhere you look," said Mr. Panetta, who reluctantly supported the measure. "In the end, Governor Schwarzenegger is going to have to do exactly what George Bush should have done a long time ago, which is put everything on the table, both spending cuts as well as new revenues."


4 posted on 03/03/2004 7:59:51 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl
What about 55? It sure looks like just more spending as far as I can see. Sort of like the alcoholic taking a swig off a pint of JB as he's going into an AA meeting. I don't think the voters get it yet.
5 posted on 03/03/2004 8:02:22 PM PST by claudiustg (Go Sharon! Go Bush!)
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To: claudiustg
I don't think the voters get it yet.

Given all the lies we are told (Unions, legislators, HJTA, etc.), it's amazing anyone gets it.
I used to trust the Ballot descriptions... never again!

6 posted on 03/03/2004 8:09:31 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl
Don't you ever get tired of posting articles that you twist to try to make Arnold look bad? What could you possibly find negative in what Donna Arduin said to make your judgment that "it doesn't look like we'll see that structural balance for a while"...

She's talking right here about passing a budget that covers the deficit... SPENDING CUTS.... that's what she's famous for and why Arnold brought her on board, remember? Or did you completely ignore that article because it put Arnold in a good light?

7 posted on 03/03/2004 8:24:00 PM PST by Tamzee (The Democrat Party...... Kerrying water for Communism since 1971)
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To: calcowgirl
I used to trust the Ballot descriptions... never again!

Amen to that!

8 posted on 03/03/2004 8:24:31 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach (The terrorists and their supporters declared war on the United States - and war is what they got!!!!)
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To: Tamsey
lol.. Another Pennsylvanian for Prop 57 , eh? ;-}

You really should move here.. you could really get a much better feel for why some folks feel cheated and left hanging in the wind, no matter who is in "control".

The Props have let the demRats off the hook, Arnold has been more than obliging to their way of life , so far.

I hope for the best, but as many out here, prepare for the worst.
9 posted on 03/03/2004 8:34:16 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi Mac ... Support Our Troops! ... Defeat the demRats in November!!!)
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To: NormsRevenge
Don't you guys have any better argument than "you live in a different state"?

You're going to have to live with other people caring about what happens in California. Not only was my husband born and raised there but we still have family there suffering like crazy. Not to mention that California's economy is dragging down the unemployment rate for the entire country which affects the Presidential race and makes it harder to keep Kerry-the-red-diaper-baby out of the White House... AND California is sending socialists to Congress.


10 posted on 03/03/2004 8:53:39 PM PST by Tamzee (The Democrat Party...... Kerrying water for Communism since 1971)
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To: Tamsey
Do you honestly see the passage of the props as success?

It prolongs the agony but you and many others don;t see that as an outcome, for some reason.

So are you going to blame the conservative movement here for what ails California too? Oh, and we know about the socialists going to Washington.. nice someone else notices, Thanks.

I wish I could afford a pair of your rose-colored glasses.

:-)
11 posted on 03/03/2004 9:02:51 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi Mac ... Support Our Troops! ... Defeat the demRats in November!!!)
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To: NormsRevenge
Yes, I see the passage of the props as a success on several levels which I know some others disagree with... fine.... but we keep seeing "Arnold is utter evil posts". It seems many freepers despise him worse than an outright communist?!

California is still looking at tremendous spending cuts to balance this year's budget, just as Arnold promised.

I don't see "prolonging the agony" as the outcome of the bond, true, because I don't assume that California's poor economy will stay static and that revenues won't increase naturally in the future.

And no, I don't blame the conservative movement for what ails California... but I might someday because I think conservatives all over the country face responsibility when the left triumphs with their agenda. "Divide and Conquer" is one of the oldest tricks in the book... we should stop falling for it ;-)
12 posted on 03/03/2004 9:31:10 PM PST by Tamzee (The Democrat Party...... Kerrying water for Communism since 1971)
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To: Tamsey
Again, I wish I had your positive outlook about the economy.

I sure hope you don't see folks like myself as haters of the Gov,, but more as students of history and personalities.. and willing to speak up as situations develop.

The state needs to flush the demRatic business, social programs and tax policies before it can have much of a chance in turning things around and creating jobs instead of forcing businesses elsewhere.

Divide and Conquer works, unfortunately.. agreed.

So when you folks gonna kick Specter out? I'd like to see some new blood in the Senate on both sides of the aisle.
13 posted on 03/03/2004 9:44:24 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi Mac ... Support Our Troops! ... Defeat the demRats in November!!! Beat BoXer!!!)
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To: NormsRevenge
I have no doubt whatsoever that the economy will improve under Arnold... I think it would have rotted away completely under Bustamante once he raised taxes upon being inuagurated. You're right about flushing the Dem policies to create jobs... fixing the worker's compensation will go far, too.

I don't think you specifically are a "hater" of the Governor as I've seen you try to keep an open mind about the issues... but I firmly believe there are some Freepers here that are purely "haters" and will attempt to smear him at any opportunity :-(

We're working on Specter.... he's pure aggravation about half the time but then we have good days, too, like his voting with Santorum against the AWB ;-)
14 posted on 03/03/2004 10:22:38 PM PST by Tamzee (The Democrat Party...... Kerrying water for Communism since 1971)
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To: Tamsey
---California is still looking at tremendous spending cuts to balance this year's budget, just as Arnold promised. ---

How are they going to do that on any lasting basis. As soon as any gaps start showing in the entitlements, they'll just float some more bonds.
15 posted on 03/03/2004 10:52:18 PM PST by claudiustg (Go Sharon! Go Bush!)
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To: Tamsey
Don't you ever get tired of posting articles that you twist to try to make Arnold look bad?
I twisted nothing. I posted the article, I didn't write it. My post had nothing to do with Arnold, it had to do with status of the bond issue and the ratings, as they affect the financial condition of the state. Being a taxpayer, it is something I care about and has alot to do with whether I will continue to be a resident of this state.

What could you possibly find negative in what Donna Arduin said to make your judgment that "it doesn't look like we'll see that structural balance for a while"...

If you read my posts, particularly the sentences highlighted, you would have noticed that the S&P analyst implied he would not upgrade the bond rating until the structural deficit was reduced. I posted the quote from Ms. Arduin, because she says the structural imbalance will be accomplished "over the next couple of years". The bond ratings directly effect the debt service costs.... the higher the rating, the more cost to the state (and the taxpayer). The fact that she does not see the budget being structurally in balance for several years is material to the equation and has not previously been published.

She's talking right here about passing a budget that covers the deficit... SPENDING CUTS.... that's what she's famous for and why Arnold brought her on board, remember? Or did you completely ignore that article because it put Arnold in a good light?

I believe I highlighted that sentence, did I not? The fact that it will be not be covered this year, or next year, but OVER THE NEXT COUPLE YEARS is what I was highlighting.

My concern is about this State, my family's home for the past century. This has very little to do with Arnold or Ms. Arduin. I don't care how famous they are, or what they have accomplished in the past. I care about actions being taken now, by many parties, that affect the condition of this state.


16 posted on 03/03/2004 11:07:04 PM PST by calcowgirl
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To: calcowgirl
You go right ahead and pretend you aren't out to try to damage Arnold's standing at any opportunity.... I don't think anyone will believe that going by a quick review of your posts at any given time.



17 posted on 03/03/2004 11:45:30 PM PST by Tamzee (The Democrat Party...... Kerrying water for Communism since 1971)
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