[KQQL]

he has to win PA + NH + WV or

PA+MO
PA+OH

not FL.

KERRY WILL NOT WIN FL....

[Betaille]

he has to win PA + NH + WV or PA+MO PA+OH

Yeah on second thought you are right. However, PA, MO, and OH are probably some of the most sympathetic states for a Defense of Marriage Amendment.

[Betaille]

"KERRY WILL NOT WIN FL...."

Thank g-d you are right. When I moved to northern florida 4 years ago it was a very split and almost apathetic place politically. But when i moved out just a few months ago it was the most gung-ho, patriotic, and conservative place I had ever seen. What the liberal media doesn't realize is that there are alot of underlying cultural and religious factors in Florida and just because Gore almost tied there doesnt mean it is less conservative than Nevada or New Hampshire.

[KC_Conspirator]

Kerry has an outside chance of winning in MO, but overall, this is still Bush country. If it were Edwards, Gephardt, or Lieberman, it might be different and none of those guys as VP would win the state.

[AuH2ORepublican]

"he has to win PA + NH + WV"

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Actually, that would give Kerry 269 EVs, which is not a majority and would throw the election to the House. Go to http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1083413/posts?page=55#55 to see why Bush is pretty much a lock to be elected by the House in case no one gets an Electoral College majority.