[LS]

Don't count on that at all. This is a slam dunk. There is no state I'm aware of where homosexual marriage even is close to a majority, and even CA and MA are close to a 2/3s majority against.

[Remole]

I agree with you, but this will be a "rum go" as the Brits would say. If the Dems and other supporters of Same Sex Marriage successfully cast the issue in terms of Civil Rights, then the opponents of the Amendment will pick up quite a bit of tacit support. Only a small % of Americans, even in CA, MA and NY, are actually IN FAVOR of SSM, but many Americans would not want to deny anyone "basic human and civil rights." The challenge for the supporters of this amendment is to change the terms of the debate from "Civil Rights" to the Greater Good of our Children, etc.