Class warfare specialist Gephardt would about sew up the job losses issue for the Rats, and probably delivery MO for the Rats. I don't see how Bush could counter that loss. Bush is also going to have a tough time with NV because of Yucca Mountain. The Rats will demagogue him to death on it. Partisan warrior Harry Reid is already sharpening his knives for that one. Bush probably has to pick off MN and NM to counter that. NM is problematic because of Richardson, who will make the vote fraud of 2000 there look like child's play. Others have talked about Minnesota. All I can say to that is, Mondull over Reagan in '84, and Jesse V. just a few years ago. Kerry has to have the advantage.
Sorry to seem pessimistic, but I think we have to run like we're behind. Thinking it's going to be a blowout for Bush is the surest way to lose. We tried that in the lead-up to '92 and it backfired big time.
I am tired of people thinking that Gephart can deliver MO just because he lives there. He NEVER ran a statewide race.
Additionally, if he had such drawing power with unions, why did he come in 4th in IA????