[BlueNgold]

Michigan is winnable.
I think if Sec Ridge comes out strong PA is winnable.
Oregon can turn into a battleground if the EC looks close. If it's not close the Pres won't put a lot of time or money into it.

[BaBaStooey]

The problem with Michigan (I'm speaking as a lifelong resident) is that the margin of victory for the Democrat in Wayne County (Detroit) is usually larger than the margin of victory statewide.

Meaning, if enough Dems turn out for the Democrat in Detroit, they win the whole state in most statewide races. The only time Republicans have won statewide is when the Democrat does not get enough support from Wayne County.

It's ridiculous, but thats the way its been here for as long as I can remember.

[SC Swamp Fox]

New Michigan poll.

I haven't had time to look at the details, but the headline is that Bush's support slips.