As my map is now(286 W, 252 Kerry) if I'm right on every state except Michigan, we have a tie.
Of the 'battleground states'(where I expect a good fight) - I have Oregon, Wash St, Nevada(somewhat of an upset), Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, West Va, Maine(both districts), and New Hampshire going dem.
And New Mex, Arizona, Colorado, Arkansas, Missouri, Louisiana, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia(sleeper), Ohio, and Michigan(my other upset) going GOP.
If it's Edwards, I expect it even tougher.